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791.
通过对2014年8月3日云南省昭通市鲁甸县发生的MS6.5地震的震源机制解、余震空间分布、活动断裂组合样式和区域构造背景等特征的综合分析表明:(1)根据主震及4级以上强余震的震源机制解、余震空间分布、烈度长轴方向,判断本次地震的发震断裂为NW向的包谷垴—小河断裂;(2)根据地表GPS水平运动速率及水平缩短速率的差异性、断裂组合样式和历史余震深度,判断发震断裂具有薄皮-同向差异逆冲型捩断层的特征;(3)包谷垴—小河断裂活动可能主要受深部的"管道流"控制,"管道流"自NW向SE方向运动,在昭通断裂带处受到华南板块的差异阻挡,造成包谷垴—小河断裂西侧管道流运动速率大于东侧管道,从而驱动包谷垴—小河捩断层的左旋滑动,导致了鲁甸地震的发生。  相似文献   
792.
A statistical analysis on earthquake activity in the Kashi-Wuqia intersection area triggered by earth tide is done by Schuster's test and the Permutation test on daily and monthly scales. The north-south, east-west component of the tidal force and tidal body stress are chosen as the tidal curve in the daily scale. The results show that most of the earthquakes occurred near the maximum 0° of the three kinds of tidal curves, the predominant tidal phases of the earthquake are - 5. 86°, 6. 60° and - 15. 52°, and the frequency of the earthquakes increases with the increase of the tide; with three kinds of tidal curves (the north-south, east-west component of the tidal force and tidal body stress ), the Ps of Schuster's test for all the earthquakes is 10. 52 %, 2. 40 % and 2. 06 %, and the pp of the Permutation test is 10. 90%, 2. 40% and 2. 06%, and the results ofps andpp based on the east-west component of the tidal force and tidal body stress are below the threshold of 0. 05 that tidal triggering of earthquakes. In the monthly scale, both the Ps and pp are very low ( close to 0 ), far below the threshold of 0. 05 of tidal triggering of earthquakes, and the predominant tidal phase for earthquake triggering is - 18. 95°, close to the maximum 0° ( new moon and full moon) of the earth tide in monthly scale. Regarding the statistical test result of tidal triggering of earthquakes, a preliminary explanation is given as to why the trigger effect in the east-west direction is greater than that in north-south direction.  相似文献   
793.
近期天山地震带地震活动固体潮调制的统计分析   总被引:1,自引:0,他引:1  
李金  蒋海昆  黄瑜  曲均浩  高朝军 《地震》2014,34(2):35-44
利用Schuster检验方法, 以潮汐体应力为计算量, 采用2010年1月1日至2012年8月31日天山中东段ML≥2.0的地震数据, 对天山地震带地震活动受固体潮触发情况从时、 空两方面进行统计分析。 研究结果显示, Schuster检验p值时间窗平滑结果与天山地震带较强地震的发生对应较好, 尤其是2011年11月1日尼勒克6.0级地震之前很长一段时间, Schuster检验p值时间窗平滑结果一直低于潮汐触发地震的阈值0.05, 而尼勒克6.0级地震发生后, 该值迅速恢复到较高水平, 反应了此次地震的发生与固体潮的密切关系; 从Schuster检验p值空间窗平滑结果看, 尼勒克6.0级地震也处于或接近潮汐调制触发地区。 因而, 从时、 空两方面的检验结果看, 尼勒克6.0级地震的发生受固体潮调制明显。  相似文献   
794.
In general, earthquake cycle related to earthquake faulting could include four major processes which could be described by(1) fault locking,(2) self-acceleration or nucleation(possible foreshocks),(3) coseismic slip, and(4) post-stress relaxation and afterslip. A sudden static stress change/perturbation in the surrounding crust can advance/ delay the fault instability or failure time and modify earthquake rates. Based on a simple one-dimensional spring-slider block model with the combination of rate-and-statedependent friction relation, in this study, we have approximately derived the simple analytical solutions of clock advance/delay of fault failures caused by a sudden static Coulomb stress change applied in the different temporal evolution periods during an earthquake faulting. The results have been used in the physics-based explanation of delayed characteristic earthquake in Parkfield region, California, in which the next characteristic earthquake of M 6.0 after 1966 occurred in 2004 instead of around 1988 according to its characteristic return period of 22 years. At the same time, the analytical solutions also indicate that the time advance/ delay in Coulomb stress change derived by the dislocation model has a certain limitation and fundamental flaw. Furthermore, we discussed the essential difference between rate- and state-variable constitutive(R–S) model and Coulomb stress model used commonly in current earthquake triggering study, and demonstrated that, in fact, the Coulomb stress model could be involved in the R–S model. The results, we have obtained in this study, could be used in the development of time-dependent fault interaction model and the probability calculation related to the time-dependent and renewal earthquake prediction model.  相似文献   
795.
根据已发布震源机制解目录(哈佛大学CMT),将青藏高原东部及邻区划分为5个构造应力场分区,并对各分区的地震逐个计算其发震断层面上的固体潮汐正应力、剪应力、库仑破裂应力及相位角,分析潮汐应力分量对不同类型发震断层的作用效果及其随深度变化特征.基于库仑破裂应力判断准则,研究潮汐应力对各种类型地震的触发作用;基于Schuster检验方法,统计分析潮汐应力对各个震级档、不同构造类型地震的影响.综合运用上述两种分析方法,探讨潮汐应力对不同震级地震以及处于不同构造块体、发震断层、震源深度地震的触发机制.结果表明,潮汐应力对印度块体和拉萨块体的正断和逆断型地震,滇缅泰块体、印支块体和松潘-甘孜块体的走滑和斜滑型地震,川滇菱形块体的斜滑型地震均存在不同程度的触发效应,且触发效应的强弱依赖于震源深度、震级大小、发震断层类型及其所处区域构造应力场.  相似文献   
796.
本文采用波形分析和β统计方法,基于首都圈地区数字测震台网和部分流动地震台的观测资料,对2010年2月27日Mw8.8智利大地震在北京房山岩体附近地区的动态触发活动进行了分析讨论.结果表明,在背景地震活动相对较弱的北京房山岩体附近,我们检测出至少5次小震活动事件在智利地震面波到达时发生.这些触发活动显著地改变了房山岩体地区这一地震活动相对平静地区的地震活动性,但是对北京地区地震活动性的影响并不明显.NKY地震台记录的智利地震触发活动的最大动态应力与之前的研究结果相比要小,约为7 kPa.这可能与房山岩体附近地区的背景地震在智利地震前一直较为平静有关.此外,相对有利的面波入射方向,以及在对蹠点上的前两组面波叠加的效应等因素综合作用,使得本研究能在约2万公里极远处观测到远震触发小震活动.然而,在随后的多次面波叠加期间并没有观测到明显的触发地震活动.在智利地震10 h前发生的琉球Mw7.0地震也未在房山地区触发相关的微震活动,这可能与它们引起的动态应力变化太过微弱有关.  相似文献   
797.
Evidence of asteroid surface features as regolith grains and larger boulders implies resurfacing possibility due to external forces such as gravitational tidal force during close planet encounters. Motion of a meteoroid released from an asteroid in the gravitational fields of the asteroid and the Earth is modeled. We are interested mainly in a distance between the meteoroid and the asteroid as a function of the time. Applications to Itokawa and some close approaching NEAs are presented.  相似文献   
798.
断层间相互作用的触震与缓震效应定量评价   总被引:3,自引:0,他引:3  
本文提出了同震库仑应力改变的基本概念,应用Navier-Coulomb破裂准则,探讨了其求解方法,从同震库仑应力改变思想出发,结合活动断层地震危险性概率预测方法,分析了断层间相互作用导致的触震与缓震效应及其定量表达方法,并以鲜水河断裂带为例进行了应用研究,检验和评价了断层间相互作用触震与缓震效应的重要性。  相似文献   
799.
This study aims at evaluating the performance of the Maximum Entropy method in assessing landslide susceptibility, exploiting topographic and multispectral remote sensing predictors. We selected the catchment of the Giampilieri stream, which is located in the north‐eastern sector of Sicily (southern Italy), as test site. On 1 October 2009, a storm rainfall triggered in this area hundreds of debris flow/avalanche phenomena causing extensive economical damage and loss of life. Within this area a presence‐only‐based statistical method was applied to obtain susceptibility models capable of distinguishing future activation sites of debris flow and debris slide, which where the main source of failure mechanisms for flow or avalanche type propagation. The set of predictors used in this experiment comprised primary and secondary topographic attributes, derived by processing a high resolution digital elevation model, CORINE land cover data and a set of vegetation and mineral indices obtained by processing multispectral ASTER images. All the selected data sources are dated before the disaster. A spatially random partition technique was adopted for validation, generating 50 replicates for each of the two considered movement typologies in order to assess accuracy, precision and reliability of the models. The debris slide and debris flow susceptibility models produced high performances with the first type being the best fit. The evaluation of the probability estimates around the mean value for each mapped pixel shows an inverted relation, with the most robust models corresponding to the debris flows. With respect to the role of each predictor within the modelling phase, debris flows appeared to be primarily controlled by topographic attributes whilst the debris slides were better explained by remotely sensed derived indices, particularly by the occurrence of previous wildfires across the slope. The overall excellent performances of the two models suggest promising perspectives for the application of presence‐only methods and remote sensing derived predictors. Copyright © 2016 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.  相似文献   
800.
On Aug. 3rd, 2014, a MS6.5 earthquake struck Ludian County, Yunnan Province. It is a typical left-lateral strike-slip event. With the purpose of understanding the influence of the Ludian earthquake, this paper firstly calculates the co-seismic Coulomb failure stress changes of the mainshock with the employment of the finite dislocation source model inversed by other researchers and studies the triggering effect to the aftershocks within a month. We find that 82.43% of the aftershocks are located in the Coulomb stress increasing area(ΔCFS>0.01MPa), therefore, most of the aftershocks are triggered by the mainshock. Then, regarding the surrounding active faults as the receive faults, the Coulomb stress changes of the mainshock are calculated to investigate the impact on the faults nearby. The result shows that only the northeast end of the west branch and northeast part of the east branch of Zhaotong-Ludian faults have been brought to failure. However, the other faults such as Daliangshan Fault, Lianfeng Fault, Zemuhe Fault, Xiaojiang Fault and Mabian-Yanjin Fault are unloaded after the Luidian event, so the possibility of future earthquake is decreased around these faults. Besides, when the optimal failure plane is chosen as the receive fault of the Coulomb stress changes, the Ludian earthquake always has good triggering effect to the aftershocks no matter which source models and effective friction coefficients are chosen.  相似文献   
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